
Well, it would seem that many Lib-bloggers are expressing their frustration with the current strategy of the Official Opposition.
I understand the frustration and I'd agree that some of what they have done does look bizarre, but I also see an odd irony here. Dion finally gets off the front pages for being a weak leader and he actually has the pundits suggesting that he's showing strength in the House and now some of his supporters have taken over where the MSM left off. I get that the hawks are antsy, but I'm not sure I see the point.
I was thinking back to when Harper was in this same spot. His press was
awful.
The stark reality is that Stephen Harper, although he is an intelligent man, simply lacks the leadership skills necessary to form the next government. His lack of these skills became obvious when the February budget was introduced. When the budget was first tabled, Harper quickly said it was a good "conservative budget" and supported it. He and his Tories then announced that they would vote against the budget and try and bring the Martin government down. A couple of days before the vote, Harper again changed his mind and announced that his party would support it. The reason for his last flip flop was that there was pressure from Newfoundland and hints that his Newfoundland members might cause the non confidence vote to be lost. A person with political smarts would have foreseen this and supported the budget all along. The end result of his wavering was that had the Conservatives initially supported the budget that they ultimately voted for, Paul Martin would have had no reason to make a deal with Jack Layton. Harper, as much as Martin, is responsible for the $4.6 billion dollar "NDP budget" that ultimately passed by one vote.
He avoided a budget vote, was forced to sit out one of his own amendments because another party felt they could sign on to it and that would have brought down the government. Why? Because he didn't yet feel he had the conditions to win.
How is that different from Dion's position? You can argue that the Lib's should be ready, but that doesn't address reality does it? The reality is Dion and the Liberals are biding their time, waiting for the mess that Harper wades into daily, to take hold while at the same time expecting those who were entrusted to be campaign ready, accomplish their task. Being short 30 candidates isn't the ideal position to be in to call an election is it?
The scandals, Cadman and NAFTA, that Harper has found himself in have placed him in a different light and the Lib's are exploiting that. lf there are diplomatic grumblings in the States because of the Obama thing,
that bodes poorly for Harper. And
that seems to be happening.
Emerson apparently told a congressman behind closed doors that
he'd be willing to renegotiate NAFTA, but that is not what they are saying here is it?
That bodes poorly for Harper. There are already grumblings out there for the hypocrisy on the Death Penalty and that too affects his image and how he's risking Canada's image.
This part of the equation is important in my mind. That is changing Canadians perception of Harper. If something that is supposedly so solid begins to show cracks, then people start listening and focusing on the other things. Things like, the McTeague bill getting through, funding cuts, the private members bill that looks like it's setting the law up to reverse pro-choice, the film/tv tax credit censorship, program cuts, income trust betrayal, environment, etc.
Some of these things have taken hold, others have yet to really resonate and if the recent scandals have yet to really resonate, do you really think people are following votes in the House? Will those votes be part of dialogue when we do go to an election? I don't think so.
The other advantage is if Dion and team reveal cracks in Harper's image, he, Dion, introduces himself to Canadians as he truly is, not as he's been portrayed.
Do I think the stand down can go on much longer? No. But I'd like to see the by-elections done with and then push on full steam. Don't get me wrong, I think the stunt they pulled yesterday was bizarre, but for all those who followed that, how many didn't? On the other hand, on a campaign trail the Lib's can say that the NDP and Bloq voted against all of those measures for women.
Is this all opportunistic politics? You bet, but no differently than anyone else plays it. Look, we all want Harper and gang gone, but I want to challenge the Con's when there is a reasonable chance that we can keep him out. I see no benefit in catering to the pressure of the opposition only to be back to square one at the end of it.
BTW - An Ipsos/Canwest poll says that 44% do not believe Harper when he says there was no offer of $1M made to Cadman, 33% say they do believe him, (guess who that is,lol) and 22% haven't yet decided. 66% do not think he should sue Dion. Some of it is sticking.