Liberal Party 37% (+1)
Conservative Party 32% (-1)
NDP 16% (+1)
BQ 8% (-1)
Green Party 7% (NC)
It's not an enormous lead, (as I've noticed some seem to expect), but it has solidified, remained pretty constant, so...good news!
What drives me mad though, are the questions posed following the horse race numbers. I mean they are somewhat interesting I suppose, taken on their own, but that's the problem in my opinion. Often pollsters seem to use the 'topic de jour' and frame an all important question around that and that alone. No doubt it's in keeping with our incomprehensible need to break everything down to it's simplest form, but in this case, an election is not a simple matter.
Message to pollsters: Dumbing it down is passé.
In this case I'm speaking of EI. It's a very specific issue, but to suggest that any party would call an election, only to run on that, is patently ridiculous. Likewise, an open ended, 'do you want an election now?' is unlikely to produce any meaningful result.
All of that said, I think there are plenty of reasons to change the government. I think that the Liberal team and Ignatieff do identify these reasons in the House, but they have yet to put forward a cohesive summary. I'm not talking about a platform here, because I think continuous calls for same are ridiculous and are holding this leader of the Official Opposition to a different standard.
No, I'm talking about an overall theme about the incompetence of this government. That comes out in bits and pieces in the media but it never tells the real story, the mural if you like. Instead, it's a dab of paint here and a dab of paint there. People stop to look, ponder a bit, but they move on because until the paint covers the wall, the full picture just isn't apparent to most.
From the lack of credibility on all things economical, to the appalling human rights abuses, there isn't anything the Conservatives haven't messed up. It's time to tell that story. It's time to stop the floundering from pillar to post trying to follow all the failures. It's time to create and deliver a concise narrative and force the pollsters to ask a question that envelops the larger picture.